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Estimates in the Sources and Studies: the Supply Side

First of all, we must work out a reasonably reliable number oftimar estate owners, that is, those landowners who had to providetroops in proportion to their revenues. Even the most recent pertinent estimates are highly divergent: according to Omar Barkan theynumbered 27,868 at the time of Suleyman I, while Inalcik gives theirnumber as 40,000. Along with Kaldy-Nagy, I accept the figure ofBarkan as a point of departure.[47]

There were three principal groups of timar landowners: 1) thesmall timars, whose income did not exceed 20,000 aspers; 2) thezeamet owners, with 20-100,000 asper income; and 3) the hassowners, whose income exceeded 100,000 aspers. The military obligations of these three categories differed: the first category provideda timariot soldier for every 3,000 aspers of revenue, the second, onefor every 4,000, and the third, one for every 5,000.[48]

To determine the total number of timariot soldiers it would bemost useful to know the distribution of the size of the timar estatesand the proportion of the owners, income. According to Kaldy-Nagy, the small timar owners amounted to 95% of all landowners; thefigures supplied by Rycaut (1670) and Count Marsigli (1732) aresummarized in Table 1, but they differ in the ratios. It seemsreasonable to assume for the entire Empire that 0.5% were hassowners, 9.5% zeamet owners, and 90% small timar owners. Grantedthat the data in this table are not from the period of Süleyman, theseratios could not have changed substantially in the course of approximately 150 years.

Table 1.
The Distribution of Timar OwnersAccording to Rycaut and Marsigli

Owners of

Author
Province


No.
%
No.
%
No.
%
No.
%
Rycaut
Anatolia
16
0.21
297
3.83
7440
95.96
7763
100

Rumelia
23
0.25
1076
11.67
8194
88.18
9292
100
Marsigli
Anatolia
61
0.72
793
9.30
7674
89.99
8628
100

Rumelia
23
0.19
960
8.04
10842
91.76
11816
100

As to income distribution, Marsigli's figures provide some orientation. At the end of the seventeenth century, the total income of thetimar estates in Anatolia and Rumelia might have been distributedas follows:

hass estates: 7.2%zeamet estates: 40.6%small timar estates: 52.2%

A rounded-out calculation using the figures of Marsigli is presentedin Table 2:

Table 2.
The Probable Distribution of Timar Estate Ownersof Their Income and of the Soldiery Provided



Hass

Zeamet
Timar




Estates

Total
Owners
in %
0.5
9.5
90.0
100

number
140
2,660
25,200
28,000
Income
in %
7.2
40.6
52.2
100

in mill. aspers
13.3
75.1
96.6
185

Aspers per soldier due

5,000
4,000
3,000

No. of soldiers provided
2,660
18,775
32,200
53,635
No. of soldiers & owners
2,800
21,435
57,400
81,635
Avg. #. of soldiers/landowner
20.0
8.1
2.3
2.9

In 1526, as on other occasions, some provinces of the eastern portionof the Empire did not participate in the Hungarian campaign. According to the chronicler Lufti, although they were mobilized, thetroops of Diakbekr, Caraman, Rum, Syria, and of the Egyptianeyalets remained at their peacetime stations. If we assume theyrepresented about a third of the total forces, we must subtractroughly 25,000, leaving us with about 57,000 sipahis, the figure given by Kochu Bey for the eyalets of Anatolia and Rumelia.[49]

The probability of these estimates is enhanced by the data provided in Table 3, which contains the figures given by Kochu Bey,Ayni Ali, Ali Chaus, and Rycaut.[50] The most important fact, for ourpurposes, is the similarity of the figures in Table 3 for the ratio oftimariot soldiers to those of Table 2.

Table 3.
Number and Proportion of Timar Owners and SoldiersAccording to Various Authors


Number of

Author
Period
Area
Owners
Sipahis
Ratio
Kochu Bey
Suleyman
Rumelia& Anatolia
19,000
57,000
3.0
Ayn Ali
1610
Empire as a whole
37,386
109,500
2.9
Ali Chaus
1653
Empire as a whole
54,775
164,400
3.0
Rycaut
mid-17th
Rumelia& Anatolia
17,745
49,000
2.8

Such are the data that can be puzzled out from the sources and the literature. As we can see, the number of timar soldiers must havebeen around 57,000. This figure, however, is only theoretical, because in practice a number of circumstances come into play. It islikely that as long as the Empire kept expanding--that is, roughlyspeaking, down to the end of Suleyman's reign--the timar ownersprovided more soldiers than the kanun prescribed, because thetimar estates established in recently conquered areas were given tosoldiers who distinguished themselves in the campaign. It alsofrequently happened that the income of the timars was raised evenif the size of their estates did not increase as a reward for meritsearned in the campaign. Thus it was largely in the interest of thebejlerbeyilik and sanjak beyi owning hass estates, as well as of thesub-begs and subasis owning zeamets, to participate in the war withas many soldiers as possible, for victory and rewards were far morelikely with large numbers. Hence Kochu Bey's words, that in thetime of Suleyman, the timar owners participated in the campaignswith considerably more soldiers than prescribed, do not sound at allexaggerated.

On the other hand, the number of fighters may have been negatively affected by the owner's illness or financial problems. Moreover, disobedience may also have played a part: some timars mayhave simply disregarded the draft. Finally, there were cases ofcheating: for instance, the landowners might show up for the musterwith a complete contingent, but then decide to send some home toavoid having to provide for them. However, such instances wereunlikely under Suleyman. On the contrary, the chroniclers write ofperfect discipline and enthusiasm, and report how well the prescriptions of the kanuns were observed at the muster. For instance,Kemal Pashazade writes regarding the muster held at Belgrade in1526:

The beys competed with one another each of them striving to outdo theothers, and each of them striving to present troops as well equipped aspossible.... The number of cavalry and infantry were like the blades ofgrass in the field and their armament was found to conform perfectlywith the official roster determined by the kanun.[51]

It is relatively simple to determine the number of professionalsoldiers. The janissaries must have numbered around 10-12,000,

the Porte's sipahis around 54,000, and the number of artillerymenis known to have been 695.[52]

It is far more difficult to estimate the size of the irregular troops.Among them were the akindjis, the gonuluk, the assab, the musellem,the voinuks, etc. Their total may have been 5040,000. While theywere of limited value in open battle-comparable to the Hungariannoble levy and local militia--the akindjis in particular were veryhelpful from the strategic point of view, because they carried outlong-range raids with unusual cruelty, terrorizing and paralyzingthe enemy's hinterland. The Tartars performed similar roles; theynumbered 10,000 in the campaign of 1532; hence we may assumethere were about as many of them in 1526.

All told, the data provided by Ferdi and Kochu Bey, presented inTable 4, must be close to reality. Although the numbers given byFerdi pertain to the troops who participated in the campaign of 1529,while Kochu Bey gives information regarding Süleyman's reign ingeneral, the situation in 1526 could not have been radically different.

Table 4.
Effectives according to Ferdi and Kochu Bey
[53]


Ferdi

Kochu Bey
Professional soldiers
32,000
36,000
Timariotsover
60,000
47-110,000
Irregular troops
60,000
48-60,000
Tartars over
10,000
10,000
Total
182,000
140-200,000

Modern historians have arrived at divergent numbers of theOttoman army's effectives fighting at Mohacs. The estimate of Gyalokay deserves special discussion. He agreed with those who feelthat the number 150-200,000 is an exaggeration, believing thatwhile at the outset, at Constantinople, the strength of the armymight have been 130,000, those actually participating in the battlenumbered only 90,000, assuming that the army had suffered 25%losses during the march to Belgrade and another 10% in the combatspreceding Mohacs. [54] This calculation is not convincing. The 25%subtracted for losses during the march is excessive; such a loss couldonly have occurred during forced marches over an extended period oftime, or if logistics had failed. Neither of these was the case. The pace of advance did not exceed 13 km/day.[55] Nor do we have anyevidence about failures of logistical service, which is not surprisingknowing the excellence of Ottoman logistical command and the factthat the army was advancing in secure territories of the Empire.Gyalokay refers to Napoleon's advance during the Russian campaign of 1812. Indeed, the Grande Armee suffered catastrophiclosses in the course of their advance, but the explanation of theselosses is common knowledge: the inadequacy of the French logisticalsystem and the scorched earth tactics of the retreating Russians. [56]Hence, we better dismiss these assumed losses and estimate the sizeof the Ottoman army reaching Mohacs at 150,000 troops, not counting the effectives of the train, the servants, and other support personnel.


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